The Invincible Jon Jay

It’s a magical time to be a Cardinals fan.  This team just can’t lose.  Adam Wainwright, Jordan Walden, Matt Adams, Matt Holliday, all down.  Injuries, sminjuries.  The Cardinals are like a Timex watch—takes a lickin’ and keeps on tickin’.  51 wins before July 1st.  What is there to complain about?

Nothing, really.  Though that doesn’t stop folks from complaining anyway, because no team is perfect and that’s what fans do.  The team may be the best in baseball right now, but there are always ways to make it even better.  The current complaint making the rounds is one that I find a delicious irony in.  Fans are complaining, get this, because Jon Jay is starting in center field instead of Peter Bourjos.  The complaint is based on the fact that Jay is struggling at the plate, as of last night his batting line is .224/.312/.267/.  Yeah, that’s bad.  That’s worse than Allen Craig at this time last year, albeit with less PAs.

The delicious irony in this is that this particular complaint is one that I made consistently all last season, and was basically told to shut up.  Jay was hitting and Bourjos wasn’t.  My complaint was based on overall play and talent, not just hitting, but the hitting was all anyone cared about.  Well this season Jay isn’t hitting, but Bourjos is, and guess what?  He’s still starting over Bourjos.  Ain’t that a kick in the head? (Any Cardinals fan paying attention should get that pun).  Jay starts when he hits, Jay starts when he doesn’t hit.  It must be so great to be Jon Jay.  There is no way to screw up and lose his job.  What employee in America wouldn’t want to be him?

Yeah, it’s ironic as hell.  It also has to be frustrating for Bourjos, because there is apparently nothing he can do to start on the Cardinals.  Even the “grittiness” of being clobbered across the face with a catcher’s leg in a shin guard and then playing the next day was only good for one start.  Maybe the next step is getting butt implants and changing his name to Jon.  Going to have to learn to bat lefty for that maneuver though.

In the words of the esteemed Ryan Theriot (cough), “It is what it is”.  I don’t have anything more to add to the subject, because I pretty much shot all my bullets last season, and I had my temper tantrum about it earlier this month.  Matheny is going to do what he is going to do and John Mozeliak is going to let him, because the team is winning and why rock the boat?  Makes sense.

It is damn funny, though.  It’s all come full circle in a way that only the Universe could create.

The situation will probably change in a few weeks when Matt Holliday comes off the DL and takes his left field spot back.  Then, it won’t be so great to be Jon Jay, because Matheny’s new man-crush, Randal Grichuk, will probably supplant Jay in center field.  I’m not going to open that can in this post, though.  Maybe later.  Grichuk is an interesting topic and one that would use up an entire post.

For right now it’s Jon Jay all the way.  What do you say, the Cardinals are going to win today.

The Cubs still suck and life is good.

 

Thank you for reading.

 

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Hacking For Dummies

I have waffled back and forth on whether to address this “hacking” scandal.  Given the lack of information, it is difficult to address it beyond just a surface pass.  I will attempt it, however, so as not to be accused of ignoring an important story.

The news broke yesterday that there was a federal investigation into an intrusion into the databases of the Houston Astros, by a person or persons believed to be employed by the St. Louis Cardinals.  This intrusion occurred sometime during Spring Training of 2014 and information gleaned from that intrusion was publicized sometime afterward by the online publication known as Deadspin.  (The information was originally posted on a site called Anonbin, but that site appears to no longer exist).  The intrusion occurred from a computer located in a house in Jupiter, FL, often used by employees of the Cardinals.

The information obtained from the intrusion was proprietary information about scouting, players, and conversations about trade discussions between the Astros and other teams (including the Cardinals).  The NY Times article cites investigators’ belief that the intrusion and subsequent publication of information was done in an attempt to embarrass Astros GM Jeff Luhnow (formerly employed by the Cardinals) probably by vengeful employees of the Cardinals.    Both MLB and the Cardinals have issued public statements that both are cooperating fully with the investigation, but provide no further details.

The Wall Street Journal reported that the investigation is focused on mid to low level employees of the Cardinals.  The Houston Chronicle has reported that the investigation has narrowed down 4 to 5 suspects, and the FBI expects to complete its investigation soon.

This is what we know about the investigation.

This is what I think.  The fact that investigators so easily traced the intrusion back to the source says that the perpetrators were not sophisticated enough to hide their tracks, leaving a trail back to the IP address is the work of a novice.  Anyone with a moderate amount of computer savvy would know to use one of the options available out there to thwart a trace (a VPN service, TOR, etc).  In my mind this eliminates a concerted effort by higher ups in the FO, which apparently is the conclusion of the investigators as well.  In addition, the fact that the results compiled from the intrusion were shared on the internet leads me to believe this was not an attempt to gain a competitive advantage, but to harm Jeff Luhnow in some fashion.  If one wanted to use the information covertly to gain an advantage, releasing it publicly would be the antithesis of such a strategy.

If the investigation is indeed wrapped up soon, we will know before long the who, what, where and why of what occurred.  A fast resolution is the best thing that can happen in this situation, avoiding distraction during the season, and putting a stop to the rampant and harmful speculation currently going on in the media and on the internet.  Articles like this ridiculous one, will hopefully cease, and the Cardinals can get back to the more important business of running the franchise.

What a conclusion to the investigation won’t do is end the hatred that exists for the Cardinals organization, a hatred that until this story broke, was based on irrational reasons grounded in the success of the organization and a misunderstanding and misleading interpretations of the Cardinals principles of operation, known as “The Cardinal Way”.  The hatred will continue, and it will be buttressed by these recent events, regardless of the outcome.  Even if the higher echelons in the organization are completely exonerated, and the villains are found to be rogue employees of the Cardinals acting on their own, those who hate the Cardinals will ignore that and will add to their repertoire of hate words like “cheaters” and “criminals”.

Be prepared for it Cardinal Nation, it is going to be a very bumpy ride.

Thank you for reading.

The Upside of Anger

Believe it or not, I promised myself before the season started that I was going to take a different approach with my blogging this year.  I was going to blog less about my frustrations with Mike Matheny and most especially his handling of his outfield situation.  Well folks, it’s June 4, so you can mark this day as the day I lost the battle with myself.

GGGAAAAAAAHHHHHHH!!!!!!!

Okay, that felt good.

Here is what I am SO MAD about.  Jon Jay went on the DL and so did Randal Grichuk.  Peter Bourjos FINALLY saw some consistent playing time.  He was hitting, hitting better than he did last season.  His swing was better, he was making more contact, striking out less.  Bourjos has never been a .3oo hitter nor will he ever be, but with his defense and speed, a league average hitter is all he needs to be to be the best option in CF.  He was doing it too.

Then Randal Grichuk came back from the DL, and the hyperbole that set your teeth on edge started.  Grichuk started playing more, and Bourjos less, even though Bourjos was still hitting.  Then Jay came off the DL, and that was the end of that.  Bourjos has been relegated to the role of street urchin that everyone takes pity on and slips him a few crumbs of bread here and there.  And he did NOTHING to deserve such treatment.

So now we have Randal Grichuk as the favored child  based on 3, count them, 3 weeks of playing.  Yes, he looks good, but looks are deceiving.  Grichuk has a BABIP of .353.  He also has a line drive rate of 17%.  That means he should have a BABIP of around .290.  So that extra 60 points of BABIP means he is hitting into a large amount of luck, and his current batting line is a mirage.  Ground balls and fly balls that he is hitting are finding holes and not getting caught at a rate beyond what they should be normally.  When that happens, regression is the inevitable result.  Grichuk is not going to continue hitting this way, not unless he starts hitting a lot more line drives and less ground balls and fly balls.

Jon Jay, on the other hand, is starting to look a lot like 2014 Allen Craig.  He may just be in a slump, or his wrist injury could be affecting his hitting.  Either way, he does not look good at the plate.  Without his high average bat, Jay contributes nothing that Bourjos doesn’t.

Despite all this, I am not really angry that Grichuk is playing.  It makes some sense that the organization wants to see what they have in Grichuk.  There is no certainty that Heyward will sign with the Cardinals after this season, and Grichuk could be the insurance policy in RF if he doesn’t.  He has to play, and play enough so that the Cardinals can judge if he is the real thing.  The test will come when opposing teams get enough video on him to recognize his weaknesses; will Grichuk be able to adjust to being pitched differently?  Will his defense in CF hold up?  Scouting reports on him have said he doesn’t have the tools to stick in CF as a starter.  Are those reports wrong?  These are all questions that need to be answered.

No, what is making me angry is that Jay is getting starts in CF over Bourjos.  I don’t want to hear that crap about past performance means he’s earned it, blah, blah, blah.  How many times has John Mozeliak said that baseball is a performance based business?  If you don’t perform you don’t play; that was certainly used against Bourjos all last year as the reason he didn’t play over Jay.  So is there a double standard?    Do we have to have Allen Craig, the Sequel?

Matheny talks out of both sides of his mouth.  With one breath he praises Bourjos for his improved hitting, but then his actions don’t match his words.  According to reports in the Post Dispatch, Matheny said he would use the “hot hand” approach to help determine lineups.  Okay, then why is Jon Jay starting in place of Peter Bourjos?  As of this writing, Jay, with a batting line approaching Mendoza territory, does not have a “hot hand”.  His hand isn’t even lukewarm.  Yet he has started in CF in 3 of the last 4 games.  What that tells me is that Matheny’s words cannot be trusted.  Yes, I will say it, Matheny is a liar.

Am I angry?  You bet your ass.

I can do nothing to assuage my anger, however.  I am powerless to do anything except write these words in a blog.  I don’t like being angry.  So these words get written in this cathartic way, and then I must put it away, for my own good.

To use a baseball term, there is no “upside” to anger.  Except in the movies.

Thank you for reading.

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