Baseball Is Stupid

I’ve come to the realization that sometimes baseball is just a stupid game.  There are times when it makes about as much sense as trying to light a candle in a wind tunnel.  Right now, two of the best pitchers in the National League are Aaron Harang and Edinson Volquez.   If the Cubs win the World Series this year, I swear I am entering a convent.  This kind of stuff shouldn’t be happening.  Do you want to know why it is happening?  It’s called SMALL SAMPLE SIZES.

Yes, folks, small sample sizes are a thing.  Strange things do happen in the vacuum of the small sample size universe.  They happen all the time, every year after year after year, yet many people are still consistently fooled by them.  It’s like when Charley Brown still tries to kick the football, knowing Lucy is going to yank the thing away at the last minute.  He just can’t help himself.

We all know Allen Craig can hit.  He didn’t hit for a long time, but now it looks like he is breaking free from the small sample size hole he was in.  Some people take longer to conquer the small sample size.  Some people play really well for short periods of time, better than their history would suggest, but eventually they will regress to their mean.  It happened most painfully to Pete Kozma.  There were people who fell for it though, when Pete Kozma was hitting 400+ in September of 2012.  I bet they won’t admit it now.

The regression will likely come for Aaron Harang and Edinson Volquez.  The hot hitter will get cold and the cold hitter will get hot.  It’s not what they do in those short periods of time that matter as much as what they have done over their career.  When decisions are made based on small sample sizes is when the trouble begins.  Those decisions do get made; those wrong conclusions are drawn.  We just can’t help kicking the football.

Baseball can be a stupid and frustrating game.  I am always very wary of the small sample size.  It will chew you up and spit you out and then stomp on you for good measure.  Conquering the small sample size takes patience.  A whole lot of patience.  Patience is something that many people don’t have.  Patience is hard, often too hard for most people.  So they kick the football.

I do have patience.  It’s the only thing that keeps me sane in a world where baseball is stupid.  In a world where Aaron Harang pitches a no hitter and Allen Craig couldn’t hit water if he fell out of a boat, patience is a necessity.   A necessity that will prevent your head from exploding the next time baseball happens and you want to throw something through your TV screen.

Stop kicking the football.  You will be better off for it.

 

 

Thank you for reading.

 

 

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